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Red111
198638.4
248151.0
871112.5
Blue74
234126.9
545435.2
543714.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11376406010012014016011174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.0
51.051.0
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End9.5
red by 15.8
35.20.1
35.335.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End9.2
Second
38.40.0
38.338.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.5
red by 11.5
26.90.1
26.926.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End11.3
Third
8711
#32
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
blue by 1.7
5437
#23
14.20.1
14.314.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.4