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Red50
27237.9
473513.9
602624.7
Blue27
588924.5
400521.4
120910.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474510203040506070805027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
22.222.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.9
red by 0.2
5889
#11
24.51.0
17.216.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Second
4735
#15
13.90.2
13.814.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.4
blue by 7.5
4005
#10
21.41.0
17.716.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Third
2723
#36
7.90.2
7.67.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End2.9
blue by 2.8
1209
#33
10.71.2
7.96.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed