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Red44
543714.2
871112.5
277316.2
Blue46
808611.7
83077.5
393125.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3941253035455055604446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.2
13.013.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
blue by 9.0
25.20.2
19.519.8
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End1.6
Second
5437
#23
14.20.2
12.112.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.4
red by 2.5
8086
#35
11.70.4
11.111.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End4.1
Third
8711
#32
12.50.2
11.812.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
red by 5.0
8307
#34
7.50.4
7.68.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed