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Red62
175014.2
641919.9
239512.9
Blue92
216525.3
452316.3
588924.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3960020801006292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#18
19.91.5
18.419.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.7
End5.2
blue by 5.4
25.32.5
24.527.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End6.4
Second
1750
#27
14.22.5
10.513.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End6.7
blue by 10.3
5889
#11
24.52.5
16.118.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
2395
#22
12.91.5
10.211.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End6.4
blue by 3.4
4523
#24
16.32.5
13.115.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned