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Red67
3116.0
93517.4
317921.7
Blue56
400521.4
316017.9
316311.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474302060801006756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#12
21.71.3
19.220.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End11.0
red by 0.3
4005
#10
21.40.5
16.617.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Second
935
#21
17.41.3
14.215.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End6.3
blue by 0.4
3160
#19
17.90.5
16.016.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Third
31
#13
16.01.3
10.311.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End4.8
red by 4.9
3163
#30
11.00.8
8.69.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed