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Red44
235911.0
641919.9
83077.5
Blue65
23987.7
642422.8
400521.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801004465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6419
#18
19.90.5
19.920.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.7
End5.2
blue by 2.9
6424
#16
22.80.3
23.123.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Second
2359
#31
11.00.5
8.69.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 10.4
4005
#10
21.40.3
17.117.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Third
8307
#34
7.50.8
8.18.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 0.1
2398
#25
7.70.6
7.78.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned