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Red58
545435.2
680917.9
175014.2
Blue92
93517.4
248151.0
239512.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6183020401001205892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.4
31.631.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End9.2
blue by 15.8
51.00.9
48.048.8
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End9.5
Second
17.90.4
15.114.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End7.0
red by 0.5
935
#21
17.40.9
15.516.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Third
1750
#27
14.20.6
13.112.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End6.7
red by 1.3
2395
#22
12.90.9
11.712.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned