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Red46
239512.9
234126.9
316311.0
Blue54
602624.7
277316.2
393125.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49622040801004654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.1
25.225.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End11.3
red by 1.7
25.20.2
20.019.9
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End1.6
Second
2395
#22
12.90.1
12.512.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End6.4
blue by 11.8
24.70.2
22.922.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Third
3163
#30
11.00.2
9.79.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 5.1
16.20.2
13.513.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned