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Red33
77447.1
80647.9
216525.3
Blue23
23987.7
871112.5
175014.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5033204060801003323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.0
28.327.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 11.1
1750
#27
14.21.6
11.710.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End6.7
Second
8064
#29
7.91.7
6.95.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End0.3
blue by 4.6
8711
#32
12.50.9
13.512.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
Third
7744
#28
7.11.7
9.27.5
Auto1.2
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 0.5
2398
#25
7.71.6
7.96.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed