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Red43
316311.0
642422.8
808611.7
Blue54
473513.9
680917.9
271819.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49582040801004354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#16
22.80.3
23.323.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End5.1
red by 3.6
2718
#20
19.20.2
20.920.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End6.7
Second
8086
#35
11.70.5
11.811.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End4.1
blue by 6.2
17.90.2
16.316.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End7.0
Third
3163
#30
11.00.5
12.311.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End3.0
blue by 2.8
4735
#15
13.90.2
15.815.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned