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Red82
316017.9
198638.4
23987.7
Blue51
216525.3
27237.9
808611.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694402060801001208251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.8
35.936.7
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.5
red by 13.1
25.30.4
26.827.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End6.4
Second
3160
#19
17.90.8
17.518.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End4.3
red by 6.1
8086
#35
11.70.6
9.39.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End4.1
Third
2398
#25
7.71.2
8.59.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 0.3
2723
#36
7.90.4
8.38.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed