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Red81
248151.0
316017.9
35078.8
Blue97
602624.7
239512.9
198638.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867940601001208197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.1
51.451.5
Auto12.9
Teleop28.7
End9.5
red by 12.7
38.40.1
36.736.8
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.5
Second
3160
#19
17.90.1
18.318.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End4.3
blue by 6.8
24.70.1
25.625.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Third
3507
#26DQ
8.80.1
10.010.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End1.7
blue by 4.1
2395
#22
12.90.1
13.013.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsMissed