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Red64
198217.1
545435.2
393125.2
Blue42
83077.5
871112.5
316017.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73290204060801001201406442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.1
32.432.5
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End9.2
red by 17.3
3160
#19
17.90.7
15.316.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End4.3
Second
25.20.1
19.519.5
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End1.6
red by 12.7
8711
#32
12.50.7
11.211.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End5.4
Third
1982
#14
17.10.1
11.311.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.3
End7.0
red by 9.6
8307
#34
7.51.0
6.77.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed