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Red45
29948.4
406922.8
68657.3
Blue51
354310.5
130521.5
415217.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404802060804551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.4
21.622.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End9.8
red by 1.3
21.50.5
20.120.6
Auto6.7
Teleop6.7
End8.1
Second
2994
#12
8.40.7
8.28.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End3.2
blue by 8.6
17.00.5
14.615.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End8.3
Third
6865
#13
7.30.4
8.89.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
blue by 3.2
10.50.5
9.19.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned