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Red48
503225.2
63315.9
368334.8
Blue52
687511.6
490735.9
87899.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65593040507080904852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.1
26.825.7
Auto7.7
Teleop20.8
End6.3
blue by 1.2
35.90.3
34.634.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End8.8
Second
5032
#10
25.20.8
23.822.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 13.6
6875
#14
11.60.3
14.113.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Third
6331
#16
5.91.1
9.98.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 3.9
8789
#13
9.80.3
7.16.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsMissed