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Red34
540636.8
87899.8
502413.3
Blue98
503225.2
490735.9
490322.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67910204060801001201403498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.82.2
38.836.6
Auto11.0
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 0.9
35.90.8
34.935.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End8.8
Second
5024
#12
13.32.2
15.813.7
Auto6.0
Teleop3.6
End3.8
blue by 11.8
5032
#10
25.20.8
24.725.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Third
8789
#13
9.82.2
11.79.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End4.1
blue by 13.0
22.80.8
22.423.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned