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Red105
368334.8
467844.4
461712.9
Blue51
503225.2
490322.8
502413.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1046105015010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.2
44.444.6
Auto12.5
Teleop20.3
End11.7
red by 19.2
5032
#10
25.20.3
25.525.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Second
34.80.2
34.835.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.8
End6.3
red by 11.9
22.80.3
23.222.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End11.4
Third
12.90.2
12.813.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 0.5
5024
#12
13.30.3
13.713.4
Auto6.0
Teleop3.6
End3.8