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Red87
490735.9
540636.8
503611.1
Blue68
132528.4
77226.0
37397.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936102040801201401608768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.1
36.636.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 8.5
28.40.2
27.928.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End6.7
Second
35.90.1
35.735.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End8.8
red by 10.0
772
#5
26.00.2
25.525.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End4.3
Third
5036
#11
11.10.1
10.911.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.1
End4.5
red by 3.3
3739
#15
7.80.2
7.67.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.3
End3.5