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Red45
68646.3
613514.8
13609.2
Blue33
86513.7
27069.9
68594.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26350204060804533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.81.7
12.214.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End0.3
red by 1.1
865
#3
13.70.4
13.212.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Second
9.21.0
5.96.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 0.8
9.90.7
14.013.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
Third
6864
#11
6.31.7
7.29.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.7
red by 1.8
6859
#16
4.50.7
4.63.9
Auto0.5
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed