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Red29
86513.7
356010.0
68594.5
Blue8
613514.8
503110.1
42529.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272901020405060298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#3
13.70.2
11.912.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End3.8
blue by 1.1
14.82.0
10.68.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End0.3
Second
3560
#14
10.00.2
8.68.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End2.1
blue by 0.1
10.12.0
8.36.3
Auto6.3
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Third
6859
#16
4.50.3
6.06.3
Auto0.5
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 4.8
4252
#17
9.32.0
7.15.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed