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Red90
497628.9
540931.4
50318.8
Blue52
130517.4
503223.8
137410.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75532040601001209052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.4
31.031.4
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
red by 7.7
23.80.1
23.923.8
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Second
28.90.4
28.528.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End10.1
red by 11.5
17.40.1
17.517.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
5031
#17
8.80.4
8.48.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 2.0
1374
#15
10.80.1
10.910.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1