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Red15
63977.5
50318.8
12462.6
Blue20
88676.1
790212.4
494611.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2037060801520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#17
8.80.4
8.98.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 3.6
12.40.8
10.39.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End4.1
Second
6397
#19
7.50.4
7.37.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 3.8
4946
#10
11.41.4
12.010.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Third
1246
#18
2.60.4
4.54.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
blue by 3.5
8867
#13
6.11.4
10.49.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
4%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed