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Red39
137410.8
503223.8
88846.6
Blue67
434318.3
12462.6
540931.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33460204060801003967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
14.614.7
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
blue by 7.7
31.40.8
22.523.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
Second
1374
#15
10.80.2
10.210.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1
blue by 7.5
18.30.8
15.316.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.3
Third
8884
#11
6.65.9
14.38.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 4.0
1246
#18
2.60.8
3.84.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed