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Red53
50318.8
540931.4
77578.3
Blue15
12462.6
857410.6
88846.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542204060801005315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.1
30.630.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
red by 20.8
10.60.9
12.511.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Second
5031
#17
8.80.1
8.07.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8
red by 2.2
8884
#11
6.61.0
8.77.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
8.30.2
8.17.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
red by 5.6
1246
#18
2.60.6
3.32.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed