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Red25
77578.3
50318.8
87313.8
Blue31
12462.6
137410.8
35437.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27271520253035402531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#17
8.80.3
9.18.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 2.0
1374
#15
10.80.7
12.111.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End3.1
Second
8.30.5
12.111.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End2.1
red by 1.2
7.00.7
8.37.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.5
End2.4
Third
8731
#16
3.80.4
4.13.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End-0.9
red by 1.2
1246
#18
2.60.5
4.64.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed