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Red41
61014.9
220030.1
40158.4
Blue49
503214.6
238614.8
9146.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643302040801004149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.6
31.130.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
red by 15.3
14.80.3
14.414.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End5.1
Second
610
#3
14.90.5
15.815.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
red by 0.4
14.60.3
14.214.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Third
4015
#11
8.40.6
9.48.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.4
red by 1.7
914
#13
6.70.3
6.46.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End1.1