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Red18
13605.6
63975.7
503214.6
Blue25
8658.9
13342.9
9146.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1720051015253035401825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.2
5.75.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
red by 5.7
865
#5
8.90.3
12.512.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Second
6397
#12
5.70.2
3.73.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 0.9
914
#13
6.70.3
0.91.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Third
5.60.2
7.17.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End1.5
red by 2.7
2.90.3
4.75.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed