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Red24
13605.6
61014.9
7715.5
Blue12
9146.7
75203.3
21985.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2715010203040502412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#3
14.90.0
14.214.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
red by 8.3
914
#13
6.70.4
3.32.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Second
5.60.0
5.75.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End1.5
red by 0.2
5.40.4
5.75.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
Third
771
#10
5.50.0
4.34.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End0.4
red by 2.3
7520
#15
3.30.4
6.96.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed