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Red41
61014.9
503214.6
8658.9
Blue29
21985.4
63975.7
87643.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47240204060804129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#3
14.91.4
17.015.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
red by 9.2
6397
#12
5.71.4
9.37.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Second
14.61.4
9.27.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
red by 9.2
5.41.4
8.47.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
Third
865
#5
8.91.4
15.414.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.7
red by 5.2
8764
#14
3.77.2
13.96.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed