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Red54
63975.7
13342.9
220030.1
Blue27
87643.7
61014.9
9146.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412101030506070805427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.0
29.630.6
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
red by 15.2
610
#3
14.90.5
14.214.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End0.5
Second
6397
#12
5.71.0
4.45.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 0.9
914
#13
6.70.4
4.54.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End1.1
Third
2.91.0
1.92.9
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 0.8
8764
#14
3.70.4
3.74.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed