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Red45
503214.6
238614.8
9146.7
Blue38
8658.9
31618.8
63975.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382201030506070804538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.3
13.914.3
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End5.1
red by 5.9
865
#5
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.7
Second
14.60.3
13.714.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
red by 5.8
8.80.2
8.68.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
914
#13
6.70.3
5.96.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End1.1
red by 0.9
6397
#12
5.70.2
5.55.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0