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Red43
632311.0
447616.9
697812.6
Blue30
76596.9
356011.4
87354.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44200103040506070804330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.6
16.817.3
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
red by 5.6
11.40.9
8.27.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Second
12.60.6
10.511.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.9
red by 5.6
7659
#15
6.90.9
8.57.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End-0.4
Third
11.00.6
10.711.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.9
red by 6.4
8735
#13
4.60.9
5.14.2
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed