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Red36
632311.0
697812.6
434315.3
Blue22
37393.4
540922.5
356011.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383602060803622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.4
14.013.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 7.2
22.51.3
18.216.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End5.9
Second
12.60.4
11.010.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.9
red by 1.2
11.41.3
8.97.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Third
11.00.4
10.29.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.9
red by 7.6
3739
#16
3.41.3
7.05.7
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed