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Red47
447616.9
76596.9
697812.6
Blue20
79025.8
748019.4
37393.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353001020405060704720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.91.2
13.714.9
Auto6.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
blue by 2.5
19.41.9
10.48.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End3.4
Second
12.61.2
9.510.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.9
red by 6.8
7902
#17
5.81.9
8.36.4
Auto4.4
Teleop0.3
End1.0
Third
7659
#15
6.91.2
9.110.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End-0.4
red by 3.5
3739
#16
3.41.9
10.38.4
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed