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Red45
356011.4
124114.9
748019.4
Blue17
697812.6
87314.1
87354.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481904060804517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End3.4
red by 6.9
12.60.5
12.712.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Second
1241
#10
14.90.3
12.612.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End1.0
red by 10.3
8735
#13
4.60.5
5.14.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
11.40.3
10.210.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.9
red by 7.3
8731
#14
4.10.5
4.23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed