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Red16
49517.7
79025.8
37393.4
Blue50
356011.4
497621.7
632311.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10480204060801650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#11
7.70.2
7.67.7
Auto4.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
blue by 14.0
21.71.0
19.420.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End8.1
Second
7902
#17
5.80.2
3.63.8
Auto4.4
Teleop0.3
End1.0
blue by 5.6
11.41.0
10.511.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Third
3739
#16
3.40.2
3.33.4
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.2
blue by 7.6
11.01.0
10.010.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned