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Red0
447631.6
467836.7
238616.0
Blue58
260923.9
368326.8
808910.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93600204080100120140160058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#1DQ
36.70.3
36.236.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.8
End10.5
red by 10.0
26.80.3
26.726.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Second
4476
#2DQ
31.60.2
31.231.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End8.1
red by 7.7
23.90.3
23.823.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Third
2386
#9DQ
16.00.2
15.615.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.3
red by 5.9
8089
#17
10.10.3
10.09.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4