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Red88
260923.9
467836.7
61627.2
Blue69
368326.8
447631.6
63319.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56672040801008869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.73.4
26.830.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.8
End10.5
red by 5.1
31.60.2
24.024.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End8.1
Second
23.93.4
19.823.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
blue by 2.8
26.80.4
25.125.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
6162
#11
7.23.4
7.010.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End3.9
blue by 2.8
6331
#16
9.90.4
12.512.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed