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Red32
502415.3
87299.6
808910.1
Blue43
63319.9
260923.9
7716.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070803243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.4
13.813.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 8.7
23.90.2
20.320.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Second
8089
#17
10.10.4
10.310.0
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 0.2
6331
#16
9.90.2
10.010.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Third
8729
#14
9.60.4
7.67.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 3.2
771
#15
6.40.1
7.17.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed