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Red34
63319.9
406914.7
238616.0
Blue83
260923.9
447631.6
7716.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36412030506070803483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.1
13.413.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.3
blue by 15.6
31.63.0
17.920.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End8.1
Second
14.70.1
9.99.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.1
blue by 9.2
23.94.1
14.118.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Third
6331
#16
9.90.1
11.411.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
red by 3.6
771
#15
6.43.0
5.88.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned