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Red115
220041.4
490734.6
111425.6
Blue122
467843.6
540636.3
491720.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071046080120140160115122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
41.141.4
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
blue by 2.2
43.60.5
43.143.6
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
Second
34.60.4
34.234.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.7
End7.9
blue by 1.6
36.30.7
35.636.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
Third
1114
#11
25.60.4
25.125.6
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9
red by 5.5
20.10.7
19.420.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3