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Red88
78111.0
406921.0
124136.3
Blue108
467843.6
540636.3
687514.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5793020408010012014088108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.5
25.627.1
Auto12.4
Teleop21.3
End2.6
blue by 7.3
43.61.2
43.845.0
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
Second
4069
#10
21.01.5
18.219.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End7.8
blue by 15.2
36.31.9
25.227.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
Third
781
#15
11.02.4
14.116.6
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End4.1
blue by 3.1
6875
#12
14.11.9
13.615.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned