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Red71
467843.6
461710.7
111425.6
Blue142
205643.5
447640.9
540636.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7411420406010014016018071142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.2
45.044.7
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
red by 0.1
43.54.1
37.141.2
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
Second
1114
#11
25.60.4
17.517.2
Auto5.8
Teleop17.8
End1.9
blue by 15.3
40.92.4
37.339.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End12.2
Third
4617
#13
10.70.4
11.811.4
Auto5.8
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 25.5
36.34.1
27.131.2
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned