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Red66
687514.1
491720.1
220041.4
Blue115
467843.6
205643.5
40158.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687520406010012014066115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.1
40.640.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End10.7
blue by 2.2
43.63.1
38.141.2
Auto12.7
Teleop18.4
End12.5
Second
20.10.1
15.615.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End9.3
blue by 23.4
43.54.2
23.127.3
Auto14.3
Teleop21.2
End8.0
Third
6875
#12
14.10.1
8.58.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.5
End4.0
red by 5.8
4015
#16
8.42.8
8.210.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned