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Red109
111439.1
205654.7
80899.0
Blue84
124141.0
403936.7
502417.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111018012014016010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.0
54.854.7
Auto15.8
Teleop27.6
End11.4
red by 13.8
41.00.4
41.341.0
Auto15.6
Teleop22.4
End3.0
Second
39.10.0
39.239.1
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End8.2
red by 2.4
36.70.4
37.136.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
8089
#15
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End4.3
blue by 8.4
5024
#11
17.40.4
17.817.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End5.4