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Red109
111439.1
403936.7
491724.5
Blue64
876512.2
42529.3
124141.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9954020408012014010964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.11.5
32.834.3
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End8.2
blue by 1.8
41.00.5
39.239.7
Auto15.6
Teleop22.4
End3.0
Second
36.71.5
32.433.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 24.6
12.20.9
8.99.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.6
Third
24.51.5
21.823.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End12.0
red by 15.2
4252
#14
9.30.5
8.08.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed