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Red90
401511.2
111439.1
356017.1
Blue25
857411.8
502417.4
46178.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6537020801001201409025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.12.2
34.336.5
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End8.2
red by 21.7
5024
#11
17.41.2
15.514.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End5.4
Second
17.12.2
14.116.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End6.1
red by 5.2
8574
#12
11.81.2
11.510.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.1
Third
4015
#13
11.22.2
9.111.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
red by 2.4
4617
#16
8.81.2
11.710.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed