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Red71
316111.1
876512.2
403936.7
Blue18
46178.8
401511.2
613517.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6343020801007118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.7
35.235.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 19.7
6135
#10
17.01.6
18.616.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Second
12.21.1
11.312.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.6
red by 1.0
4015
#13
11.21.6
13.611.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Third
11.10.7
10.110.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End4.3
red by 2.3
4617
#16
8.81.6
10.58.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed