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Red87
502417.4
403936.7
857411.8
Blue67
80899.0
613517.0
124141.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696840506080908767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.8
35.936.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
blue by 4.3
41.00.2
40.740.9
Auto15.6
Teleop22.4
End3.0
Second
5024
#11
17.40.8
16.617.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End5.4
red by 0.4
6135
#10
17.00.2
16.917.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
8574
#12
11.80.8
11.111.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.1
red by 2.9
8089
#15
9.00.2
6.76.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed