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Red28
42529.3
857411.8
80899.0
Blue64
403936.7
494619.0
876512.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315802040801002864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8574
#12
11.81.3
13.111.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.1
blue by 24.9
36.70.7
30.030.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Second
4252
#14
9.31.3
7.76.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 9.7
19.00.7
12.313.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End7.9
Third
8089
#15
9.01.3
11.710.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End4.3
blue by 3.2
12.21.0
8.79.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned